Sunday, February 27, 2011
Truce of war currency clearly Geithner to test
Saturday, October 30, 2010
Currency War: who are the winners and losers?
On the 27th of September, the Minister of Finance of Brazil, Guido Montega, used the term "currency war" to describe the series of recent interventions by the Central Bank in the Forex market. While he may not have intended the term stuck and financial journalists everywhere have run wild with it.
In the current cycle (goes back a couple of years), more than a dozen central banks entered the forex markets with the intention to press their respective currencies, both against each other and also against the US dollar. What makes it a war is that central banks are fighting to outspend and outdo each other. Is a war of attrition, where central banks will fight until they've exhausted all means suffering defeat for your coins. Moreover, unlike a conventional war, there aren't alliances, nor is there much little strategy.Central banks simply buy large blocks of coins counter and hope their own currencies then will devalue the spot market. Moreover, since the coins counter are almost always dollars and/or euros, participants in this war isn't even competing directly against each other, but against an enemy that isn't doing much to fight back.
Friday, October 29, 2010
Passive investing Currency rises in Popularity
Anyone reading the latest Bank of International Settlements (BIS) triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and derivatives market activity know that Forex turnover increased by 20% daily for the past three years, to $ 4 trillion. According to official data, the vast majority of the participants is and related financial institutions, which would give the impression that the overwhelming majority is committed to negotiating for speculative purposes. Anecdotal Research, however, suggests that behind the scenes, is "passive" in foreign exchange trading that is making its presence known.
"In accordance with the Deutsche Bank players ' liabilities '
Emerging market "Wall of Money" Spurs Currency war
According to Goldman Sachs (which if nothing else, it is good that characterizes financial trends. Remember "BRIC?"), there is a "Wall of Money" which is already inundate the emerging markets and will continue to do so in the foreseeable future.